—by Chris Rifer
Happy New Year!
With the holidays in the rear view mirror, the SuperDraft Combine underway, and training camp quickly approaching on the horizon, we have been through the worst of the offseason and emerged alive on the other side. From here on out, the MLS and Timbers news comes at a much faster pace until finally – at long last – the 2012 season officially begins.
But enough about the future, let’s talk about right now. Today it’s why Eric Brunner should get national team camp consideration and the 2012 schedule.
Brunner for America 2012
I, Chris Rifer, officially endorse Eric Brunner for a spot in the U.S. Men’s National Team camp. Now, before we get into the meat of my argument,[1] a few reality checks. No, I don’t think it’s a manifest injustice that Brunner didn’t get the call. Yes, this is probably still a little bit of a stretch. Yes, there are other deserving American center backs that haven’t received the call. And most importantly, I’m not saying Eric should start in the 2014 World Cup.[2] All I am saying is he would be a perfectly deserving selection to JK’s camp.
So, why does Eric Brunner merit a call-up? First off, he is an underrated defender. As the Timbers highlighted earlier this week, Opta found Brunner was the second-best 50-50 ball winner in the league, winning a borderline absurd 70.2% of his 50-50s.[3] So, Eric has some serious aerial prowess – getting the Opta nod over called-up Omar Gonzalez[4] (#4) and Jeff Parke (#5). All the while Brunner stays out of trouble with the referees, being whistled for a modest 19 fouls in an impressive 2,795 minutes. Pretty impressive. His organization of the defense improved as the year went along, even if he occasionally found himself napping a little bit allowing a runner in behind.
Second, he was the backbone of a team that developed a pretty stingy defensive identity as the season went along. Now, I know, you’re looking at last year’s table and saying “Chris, are you out of your freaking mind, the Timbers’ defense was awful last year!” Indeed, over the course of the season, PTFC conceded 48 times – fifth worst in all the land. But here’s the catch, over the last half of the season (17 matches), the Timbers allowed only 19. Now, if you expanded that pace out to encompass the whole season, that would be 38 goals allowed – good enough for fifth best in all the land.
Yes, there were other reasons the Timbers got better defensively – namely the shift of Jack Jewsbury to holding midfielder and the addition of Mike Chabala and, to a lesser extent in my mind, Lovel Palmer. But Brunner’s contribution shouldn’t be overlooked. He was still the backbone of the defense and accordingly gets a good share of the credit for its improvement.
Third, Brunner was one of PTFC’s most consistent players during the season. With the exception of a brief stretch during the summer, Eric really didn’t have down matches. Both Futty and David Horst, while certainly having very good seasons, had moments where they looked dodgy. Brunner, though, was one of the most reliable Timbers.
Finally, Eric is a target going forward on set pieces. He scored thrice in 2011, including game winners against Chivas and Columbus, and the nail in the coffin against Galaxy. Offense is something the Americans desperately need, and while Eric certainly isn’t going to turn around the Yanks’ offensive woes by himself, it’s nice to have a guy with his aerial prowess lurking far post.
So, he’s a young, consistent, ball-winning, defense-leading, goal-scoring center back. Is he the best in the MLS? No, at least not yet. I almost certainly put George John, Jamison Olave, Geoff Cameron, Omar Gonzalez, and Chad Marshall ahead of him at this point. That said, however, in 2011 I would say he had a season about on par or better than the likes of Parke, Nat Borchers, Danny Califf, and Tim Ream.[5] Still, he’s a guy that at this point deserves at least a cup of coffee with the National Team. So, it’s time for a change in 2012: Brunner for America.[6]
Mark Your Calendars
Wait, it’s only January and the schedule is out already? Well, mark your calendars, send regrets to your friends and family who are getting married on home dates, and stock up on throat lozenges. Here we go.
The first thing of note is the Timbers have both Vancouver and Seattle at Jeld-Wen Field twice this year. This is speciously exciting, but has two major downsides. First, it totally kills the Cascadia Cup. Portland will have four of their six Cascadia Cup matches at home; a huge advantage that makes the Timbers a fun-killing favorite.[7] When they announced the unbalanced schedule I presumed the MLS would work it out so the Cascadia teams all had three home and three away games, thereby preserving some level of competitive parity in the Cascadia Cup. Not so, and in my mind it’s unfortunate.
Second, the Timbers have one of the more difficult schedules in the league. Portland visits F.C. Dallas, L.A. Galaxy, Colorado Rapids, and Real Salt Lake twice. If you’re counting, that’s four of the top five teams in the Western Conference in 2011. If the table holds relatively true to 2011, then, the corollary of that is the Timbers figure to have a disproportionately easy home schedule, with two fixtures each against Whitecaps, Chivas USA, and San Jose. The Timbers success, then, will rely on Portland mopping up a lot of points at home, because even a spirited road effort doesn’t seem to be especially promising.
The final interesting thing about the schedule is the national television exposure given to Cascadia and the MLS as a whole. The Timbers will have 12 matches – 11 if you don’t count Galavision – on national TV. Three of those are on ESPN or ESPN2. Another is on NBC nationally. Seven of ESPN’s 21 matches in 2012 will involve Portland and/or Seattle. All three of the Timbers-Sounders fixtures will be shown nationally on a prominent network, ESPN[8] twice and NBC[9] once. I’m not sure there is a surer sign that the Cascadia rivalry is helping to grow the sport nationally.
Ultimately, though, the most exciting thing is the increased national exposure for MLS. This season, MLS will be available in millions more homes than with Fox Soccer, and on more prominent channels. No doubt this is a result of the TV deal with NBC Sports the League signed this year. But the deal itself is indicative that the MLS is going through its first sustained period of growth, showing promise beyond a World Cup year.[10] That is an extraordinarily positive referendum on the growth of MLS, and one that promises to have staying power that previous World Cup-induced spurts didn’t.
Before the Super Draft we’ll set the table for the Timbers a little bit, but until then…
Onward, Rose City!
[1] You can decide for yourself the quality of meat this argument is. I’ll be pleased if it can rise above Spam to the level of Oscar Meyer bologna.
[2] Now that we’re in 2012 we can semi-accurately say it’s only 2 years away!
[3] He was only beat out by Chad Marshall, who won a not-borderline absurd 76.2%.
[4] Who, after suffering torn ACL on his first day, immediately regrets the decision to ditch National Team camp to train with FC Nurnberg.
[5] In fact, after watching a fair amount of Ream this year, I can’t name one thing he consistently does better than Brunner.
[6] I’m not Eric Brunner, but I still approve this message.
[7] Simply put, if the Timbers win the Cup the easy excuse will be the home advantage. If PTFC loses the Cup, it will be a relative embarrassment. Now, those that are into “facts” will point out that Cascadia home teams were 1-3-2 last year, with the only home win being Portland’s victory of Vancouver. That, however, is an anomaly. Plus, facts have a well-known anti-Chris bias.
[8] Like, regular ESPN, not The Ocho.
[9] Like, regular NBC, not the new NBC Sports network.
[10] Credit for this is widespread. From the improved management of the league to the development of a vibrant supporters culture in places like Toronto, Philadelphia, Seattle, Portland, and Vancouver, the MLS has improved in nearly every imaginable facet over the last three or four years.