—by Chris Rifer
Hey, you. Yeah, you under the rock. I have some news. John Spencer was fired Monday morning.
It wasn’t a long time coming, but it was coming. The beginning of the end was the embarrassing loss to Cal FC in the U.S. Open Cup that denied the club its dignity and a major gate payday. Before then, while the results had been poor, they were showing signs of turning around. Back the Cal FC debacle up with two more humiliating road blowouts, and John Spencer found himself out as manager of the Timbers on Monday morning.
What even a few weeks ago seemed premature became necessary after two embarrassments in the Rockies. It became increasingly clear that Spencer was failing to prepare his team to play on the road, and with every road loss the tactics became more desperate.
There was no clearer example than Saturday, as Spencer employed not one, not two, but three defensive midfielders in a desperate – and historically doomed[1] – effort to keep the RSL attack at bay. Spencer had a fever and thought the only prescription was more central midfield. He was wrong.
The sacking comes at a time when the Timbers increasingly had little to lose. Without the ability to earn points on the road, their postseason fate was sealed. And Spencer showed – over and over – that he couldn’t produce those results.
As Merritt Paulson stated today in the press conference, there will be aspects to Spencer that will be missed in the Rose City. He, like very few coaches in the game, could match the passion of the Timbers Army. While he was often prickly with media, reluctant to accept responsibility for the team’s shortcomings, and occasionally made personnel moves that led some to suggest he may have gone mad, he was as good for a one-liner as anybody that has ever come through the club.
Ultimately, however, it takes more than passion and a good zinger to be a successful manager. Accordingly, John Spencer is no longer with the Portland Timbers.
For the remainder of the 2012 season, Gavin Wilkinson will reassume his old role as the manager. Wilkinson, 50-29-39 as manager of the USL Timbers from 2007-2010, is a logical choice to be a caretaker. Gavin earned a reputation in Portland as being a pragmatic, defensively minded manager. While he won’t take your breath away with his tactics, his record speaks for itself as to his effectiveness in the lower division.
The biggest knock on Wilkinson – that his teams roared in the regular season before withering when it mattered in the playoffs – is hardly relevant to a caretaker whose lame-duck tenure will be adjudged a roaring success if the team even makes the postseason.
Additionally, it was reported the Timbers are poised to add Sean McAuley to the coaching and technical staff. McAuley, a 2002 Timber, has since plied his trade in charge of the youth development academy at Sheffield Wednesday F.C. in the English Championship. As discussed below, if McAuley is signed, he may be an eventual candidate to take on a long-term role as manager after the season.
The Timbers have more pressing challenges directly ahead, however, namely a Saturday fixture against the on-again, off-again L.A. Galaxy. They go forward, however, without their manager and with a little bit less innocence.
Here’s wishing John all the best wherever he goes from here.
The Candidates
I’ve never been one to be shy about speculation. With the Timbers’ current makeup, I suspect a premium will be placed on MLS and youth development experience. By all means, the Portland job is an attractive one. You have a club with a good revenue stream, an owner that is willing to spend to win, a massive fanbase, and some pretty promising young talent. So, no reason to think small here. Here are a few all-too-early names to keep an eye on.
Bob Bradley
Wantability: 9. The former USMNT manager, and current Egyptian National Team gaffer, is in many ways the polar opposite of John Spencer. Whereas Spencer exudes passion, Bradley gives off an icy stoicism. Whereas Spencer oozes charisma, Bradley is as affable as a tortoise. Whereas Spencer’s Timbers teams developed a reputation for coughing up deserved results late in games, Bradley’s American side became the darlings of the 2010 World Cup group stage by drawing on vast reservoirs of pluck to scratch out needed results.
The Timbers current roster also fits Bradley’s pragmatic style nicely. The team is in good shape defensively for the next few years, with Diego Chara, Hanyer Mosquera, and Eric Brunner having productive years ahead of them. The club also has some young – albeit raw – attacking talent in Kalif Alhassan, Darlington Nagbe, and Trencito Valencia for Bradley to form into an attack sufficient to get the goal he needs for his result. Also, Bradley has almost a decade of MLS experience from before he moved to the national program, so the rigours of the league[2] won’t be alien to him.
He even has youth development experience after a couple years with the American U-23 side. If he wants the job, you have to think it’s his.
Getability: 2. He started in Egypt just over a year ago, and while there are plenty of reasons to desire Portland over Cairo – the summers, to name one of the more trivial – you get the feeling Bradley will want to see the project out. The Egyptians have committed to him through 2014 World Cup qualifying, and odds are Bradley will reciprocate. Still, it’s more than worth a phone call.
Sean McAuley
Wantability: 5. It’s hard to say, since he has little first team management experience and hasn’t spent serious time in Portland for a decade. Still, his experience in youth development at Sheffield Wednesday is promising, and he was twice a caretaker manager after the Owls sacked their managers, building a 3-2-2 record in all competitions in that time. Nonetheless, seven matches does not a managerial resume make. If he does well over the course of the season’s second half, however, he could find himself in the running.
Getability: 10. If reports are true, he’s already here. Have to think he would take the spot if offered.
Tab Ramos
Wantability: 7. The USA U-20 manager has been praised for his work in youth development with the national team, and has been whispered about as a someday senior team manager. The Timbers would be a perfect stepping stone for Ramos. A couple years’ success in Portland, plus a group stage World Cup flameout by current manager Jurgen Klinsmann,[3] and Ramos could be a prime candidate to take over the highest job in the land. His experience with youth development is a big plus, as is time playing in MLS as a player. Still, he has yet to lead a senior team, so there is some risk there.
Getability: 7. It probably would take a serious offer, but Paulson could likely lure the 81-time American international to the Rose City.
Caleb Porter
Wantability: 5. A year ago this would have been much higher, but a defenseless showing with the U-23 National Team in Olympic qualifying has deflated his stock substantially. He is still the hottest professional coaching prospect in the college ranks, but that’s not always a guarantee for success. Does have a relationship with Darlington Nagbe, though, and coached him to his best soccer.
Getability: 9. He would take the gig.
Jay Heaps
Wantability: 6. The Timbers are one of the few clubs in the league in position to pluck a manager from another club, and Heaps is one of the more attractive pieces of fruit. Inheriting a club that was a joke coming into the season, Heaps has the New England Revolution sitting just outside a cramped East playoff picture halfway through the season. Hasn’t shown he can win on the road consistently, however, which is a bit of an issue on Morrison Street.
Getability: 4. The Timbers could make an attractive offer, but Heaps is a New England man. If things have turned a corner on an organizational level in Foxboro, he will be tough to lure west.
Onward, Rose City!
[1] In a match report that was preempted by Spencer’s firing, I drew a metaphor between Spencer’s tactics in Salt Lake and the Maginot Line; the fortifications France built on the German border after World War I. The French failed to fortify the Belgian border, allowing the Nazi army to march into France around the Maginot Line by way of Belgium at the start of World War II. On Saturday, Diego Chara, Jack Jewsbury, and Lovel Palmer were the Maginot Line while Kosuke Kimura and Steven Smith played the unenviable role of Belgium.
[2] One of John Spencer’s favorite topics.
[3] Which is depressingly likely.